UFC on ESPN 37 Odds and Predictions

UFC on ESPN 37 Odds and Predictions

Kattar Emmett Prelims

We’re putting on betting picks on all fourteen fights for UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs Emmett. UFC on ESPN 37 odds have been provided by Bovada, one of The Sports Geek’s top UFC betting Sites. 

How to Watch and Bet on UFC on ESPN 37

UFC Fight Night: Kattar vs Emmett is airing on June 18th, 2022 in Austin, Texas. The fights start at 4:00 PM ET on ESPN+ and UFC Fight Pass. Click any of our Place Bet Now buttons below each fight to check out online sports betting at Bovada. 

 UFC on ESPN 37 picks

Kattar vs Emmett: Kattar Money Line bet at -240
Cerrone vs Lauzon: Fight Goes to Decision, No prop bet at -210
Means vs Holland: Fight Completes 1 Full Round prop bet at -300
Underdog Pick, Buckley vs Duraev: Buckley Money Line at +170
Parlay Pick, Ismagulov vs Kutateladze: Damir Ismagulov Money Line at -165
Marquez vs Rodrigues: Marquez Money Line at +155
Yanez vs Kelley: Yanez Money Line at -335
Jasudavicius vs Silva: Fight Goes the Distance, No +155
McGee vs Wells: Wells Money Line at +100 
Ramos vs Chavez: Ramos Money Line -325
Oliveira vs De Paula: Over 2.5 Rounds at -325
Wineland vs Stamann: Stamann Money Line -525
Hawes vs Winn: Hawes Money Line at -265
Dolidze vs Daukaus: Daukaus Money Line at -260

PLACE YOUR BETS NOW!

Calvin Kattar -240 vs Josh Emmett +188

Our main event pits former title challenger Kattar against 8-2 in the UFC Josh Emmett. Kattar is fresh off the win over Giga Chikadze. He surprised everyone, us included, with his superior striking and timing.

Emmett has finished four UFC opponent’s by knockout since 2017, knocking out Ricardo Lamas at the end of round 1 with ten fewer significant strikes than Kattar. 

Money Line and Method of Victory Odds for Kattar vs Emmett 

Bet 
Kattar Odds 
Emmett Odds 

Money Line 
-240
+188

Win by Points
+129
+475

Finish by TKO or Disqualification 
+190
+400

Finish by Submission 
+2000
+2500

Inside the Distance 
+200
+400

Win in Round 1
+600
+1200

Win in Round 2
+850
+1600

Win in Round 3 
+1400
+2200

Win in Round 4
+2000
+2800

Win in Round 5
+2500
+4000

Kattar is the favorite, despite losing two of his last five fights. He defeated Jeremy Stephens by second round knockout, one of the only fighters Emmett lost to. Emmett has captured TKOs in rounds 1,2 and 3 in the UFC, but Kattar is a far more consistent finisher. 
Our top UFC on ESPN 37 picks from this category is the Kattar via knockout prop bet, paying $190 for every $100 wagered, and the Kattar money line. 

Over Under and Round Betting Odds for Kattar vs Emmett

Bet 
Over/Yes
Under/No 

1.5
-450
+300

2.5 Rounds 
-220
+165

3.5 Rounds 
-165
+125

4.5 Rounds 
-145
+110

Fight Goes the Distance 
-125
-109

Fight Complete 1 Full Round 
-800
+475

Fight Complete 2 Full Round 
-325
+230

Winning Round 1
+475

Winning Round 2
+550

Winning Round 5
+1600

Kattar’s last three fights have been decisions, and he’s been in six decisions across ten UFC appearances. Emmett has seen five decisions across nine fights, but is yet to square off in any five round bouts. For that reason, I think the Over 2.5 Rounds prop is one of the safer props in the UFC on ESPN 37 odds. Kattar is difficult to knock out, and as he matures he’s turned into a slower, more metered starting striker. Emmett has been finished once after being forced into a brawl with Jeremy Stephens, but his 62% striking defense should be in full effect against Kattar. 

Tale of the Tape for Kattar vs Emmett

Fighter
Calvin Kattar 
Josh ‘The Fighting Falmer’ Emmett

Age
34
37

Height
5’11’’
5’6’’

Reach/Stance
72’’ Orthodox 
70’’ Orthodox 

Record
23-5
17-2

Submissions/TKO in UFC
0/4
0/4

Fighter Training Camp
New England Cartel 
Team Alpha Male 

Emmett is the smaller framed fighter. He’s older, but his focus on conditioning shouldn’t make that much of a factor. The fighter’s have similar finishing power, though Kattar is often viewed as the striker. 

Kattar vs Emmet UFC Stats For Betting Picks 

Fighter  
Calvin Kattar
Josh Emmett 

Strikes Landed, Absorbed per Minute 
5.19, 7.65
4.28, 4.1

Takedown Accuracy, Defensive Percentage 
29%, 89%
47%, 58%

Takedowns in Last 3
3
1

Control Time in Last 3 
4:53
2:40

Emmett is a high level wrestler and came into the UFC using mostly takedowns. His evolution into an exhausting clench fighter has helped him rack up control time and lower the amount of damage absorbed through a conservative style. Kattar’s 7.65 strikes per minute can be attributed to the 445 significant strikes he took against Holloway in their 2021 fight. 

Kattar vs Emmett MMA Breakdown and Betting Prediction

Emmett’s one knockout loss is working against him in the odds. The only fighters to beat Kattar have been very talented strikers winning by decision. Holloway and Zabit’s inability to put Holloway down leave little room for an Emmett finish, especially considering his decisions with fighters like Burgos and the loss to Desmond Green. 
Kattar’s striking and physicality should lead him to the decision win or better. We’ve underestimated his striking before, and his 89% takedown defense extends to low grappling control time across all fights. Bet the Kattar money line at -240, a $41.67 return per $100 wager. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW!

Joe Lauzon +143 vs Donald Cerrone -170

Two legends collide in a fight that’s been moved twice. Cerrone is the favorite despite a six fight losing streak (counting the overturned loss to PED user Niko Price.) Lauzon won his 2019 bout over Pearce breaking a three fight losing streak. 

Money Line and Method of Victory Odds for Lauzon vs Cerrone

Bet 
Lauzon Odds 
Cerrone Odds 

Money Line 
+143
-170

Win by Points
+425
+325

Finish by TKO or Disqualification 
+350
+185

Finish by Submission 
+650
+550

Inside the Distance 
+215
+125

Win in Round 1
+400
+365

Win in Round 2
+800
+550

Win in Round 3 
+1200
+900

Cerrone is the favorite across all categories, with a  +125 win inside the distance bet. Both fighters have nine submission finishes at the UFC level. Cerrone is a clear fan favorite, and were wondering how much that’s affected the betting lines. 

Lauzon vs Cerrone Betting History

Cerrone opened at -170 and has hovered in that range since the start of betting, though he opened at -300 when their fight was first scheduled in May. In Cerrone’s losing streak, he’s been the underdog all six times, showing up as the favorite in his last win over Al Iaquinta. 
Lauzon was the favorite in losses to Chris Gruetzamacher and Jim Miller. His last upset win was over Diego Sanchez in 2016. 

Over Under and Round Betting Odds for Lauzon vs Cerrone

Bet 
Over/Yes
Under/No 

1.5
-150
+115

Fight Goes the Distance 
+162
-210

Fight Complete 1 Full Round 
-300
+220

Fight Complete 2 Full Round 
-105
-125

Winning Round 1
+185

Winning Round 2
+240

Winning Round 3
+550

Cerrone has been finished in four of his last five bouts, and prior to that saw two finishes out of three wins. Lauzon has lost twice via TKO and won once over his last three fights, and hasn’t seen a decision since 2017. From the Over/Under bets, we recommend the Fight Goes the Distance, no prop at -210. 

Tale of the Tape for Cerrone vs Lauzon 

Fighter
Donald ‘Cowboy’ Cerrone 
Joe Lauzon 

Age
39
38

Height
6’1’’
5’10’’

Reach/Stance
73’’ Orthodox 
71’’ Orthodox

Record
36-16, 2 NC 
28-16

Submissions/TKO in UFC and WEC 
9/11
9/6

Fighter Training Camp
Cowboy Ranch
Lauzon MMA 

Cowboy has shown more consistent knockout power, especially considering ten of those knockouts were after the move to the UFC. Lauzon became more of a knockout striker later in his career. 

Ranch vs School

Cerrone has his own training environment at home, geared toward his personal development as an athlete. Lauzon is currently a head coach alongside his fight camp, a very difficult position to train properly while holding. 

Cerrone vs Lauzon UFC Stats For Betting Picks 

Fighter  
Donald Cerrone 
Joe Lauzon

Strikes Landed, Absorbed per Minute 
4.43,4.49
2.84, 5.39

Takedown Accuracy, Defensive Percentage 
33%, 54%
45%, 54%

Takedowns in Last 3
2
1

Cerrone has better all time striking output than Lauzon. Joe has never been a cumulation puncher, and will look for a few big shots early in the first round, or a grinding decision win. Cerrone has a lower takedown rate, and will only shoot against talented strikers like Anthony Pettis. 

Which highlight reel will you literally never ever get bored of each time you see it. For me it’s Donald Cerrone’s combo on Rick Story. Impeccable 👌 pic.twitter.com/3B1jNfyBPQ

— Neil Butcher (@MMAassault1) August 19, 2020

Cerrone vs Lauzon Prediction

The UFC on ESPN 37 odds have Cerrone in a strong favorite prediction. Lauzon has been out of commission for three years. Cowboy is underrated because he’s only fought fighters in the top ten over his last six fights, aside from the loss to Morono. 
Lauzon has heavy hands and Cowboy’s chin is concerning for me. Both fighters have been knocked out early on, and for that the ‘Fight Goes to Decision, No’ prop bet feels like the right choice. Look for either man to have the potential to deliver a flash TKO in the first round. The -210 odds payout at $47.62 per $100 wagered. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Kevin Holland -275 vs Tim Means +220

The Dirty Bird returns to continue his three fight winning streak. Means has beena  gatekeeper for a while in the UFC, but gets his shot at a rise in the ranks against Holland. Kevin Holland recently broke a losing streak with a  drop to welterweight. This is his third fight in the division. 

Money Line and Method of Victory Odds for Holland vs Means

Bet 
Holland Odds 
Means Odds 

Money Line 
-275
+220

Win by Points
+165
+425

Finish by TKO or Disqualification 
+185
+550

Finish by Submission 
+575
+1400

Inside the Distance 
+115
+500

Win in Round 1
+350
+800

Win in Round 2
+750
+2000

Win in Round 3 
+1200
+3500

Holland was a force at middleweight, but Means has been a big welterweight for a long time. He nearly won a decision over Belal Muhammad, and was robbed blind in his bout with Sergio Moraes. Means struggles with grapplers, but Holland hasn’t been much of an offensive wrestler since his win over John Phillips back in 2018. 

Over Under and Round Betting Odds for Holland vs Means

Bet 
Over/Yes
Under/No 

1.5
-275
+200

2.5 Rounds 
-136
+105

Fight Goes the Distance 
-120
-110

Fight Complete 1 Full Round 
-300
+220

Fight Complete 2 Full Round 
-175
+135

Winning Round 1
+215

Winning Round 2
+550

Winning Round 3
+900

Means has seen three decisions in his last three wins, and twelve in his UFC career. Holland has seen three decisions across six fights. Bettor’s should look at the Fight Complete’s 1 Full Round prop bet. Holland has three first round finishes, but none against well paced grapplers. Means has been finished in the first round only once, by Niko Price.

Tale of the Tape for Holland vs Means

Fighter
Kevin ‘Trailblazer’ Holland 
Tim ‘The Dirty Bird’ Means

Age
29
37

Height
6’3’’
6’2’’

Reach/Stance
81’’ Orthodox 
75’’ Orthodox

Record
22-7, 1 NC
32-12-1, 1 NC

Submissions/TKO in UFC
1/5
2/5

Fighter Training Camp
Travis Lutter Bjj Academy
Fit NHB

Holland is a very large welterweight, in a division where Means is accustomed to being the big man. Means has the same number of finishes but over double the UFC losses. 

Means vs Holland UFC Stats For Betting Picks 

Fighter  
Kevin Holland 
Tim Means

Strikes Landed, Absorbed per Minute 
3.84, 2.38
5.06, 3.58

Takedown Accuracy, Defensive Percentage 
45%, 49%
39%, 66%

Takedowns in Last 3
1
3

Means is the more consistent striker but stays very open to messy exchanges. Even in wins, Means has been hit 189 times in his last three bouts. Holland is the better grappler, but hasn’t had a chance to demonstrate that in the last three fights. This lower pace on part of Holland led us to our UFC on ESPN 37 pick. 

Holland vs Means Predictions

Holland is a Black Belt in Bjj and very rarely opps to put it to work. Means is notorious for damning grappling mistakes. His loss to Cowboy Oliviera, the fighter Holland just knocked out, was a second round RNC after Means failed to shut down the 11 takedown attempts of Oliveira. 

Big right hand by @PlatinumPerry rocks Tim Means 👀 #UFC255

▶️ https://t.co/GTceuIhAvM pic.twitter.com/LnyptstjAO

— ESPN MMA (@espnmma) November 22, 2020

Means is rocked in most fights, but manages to overcome. He’s as scrappy as they come.
Holland has fantastic knockout power, but Means has found a way to avoid the majority of damage from strikes, ensuring that he’s hit, but not hit flush. Means could take this fight with Holland to deep water, a place where the weight cut could make him lethargic. I see a long fight strategy from Means and a surprising fight. Bet the Fight Completes 1 Full Round prop bet at -300. This safe bet offers $33.33 per $100 wagered. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Joaquin Buckley +170 vs Albert Duraev -220

Buckley won a back and forth battle over Alhassan in February. He’s teed up to face Albert Duraev, undefeated in the UFC and on a ten fight winning streak. 

Money Line and Method of Victory Odds for Buckley vs Duraev 

Bet 
Buckley Odds 
Duraev Odds 

Money Line 
+170
-220

Win by Points
+550
+250

Finish by TKO or Disqualification 
+275
+300

Finish by Submission 
+2500
+300

Buckley’s grappling has long been considered a weakness, but it’s his chin that’s people worried about Duraev’s chances in the exchange. Buckley has been finished twice in his 4-2 UFC run. Duraev has been the favorite since his ABA submission of Patrik Clincl. He upset Vyacheslav Vasilevskiy in his first +110 underdog appearance in 2017. 

Over Under and Round Betting Odds for Buckley vs Duraev

Bet 
Over/Yes
Under/No 

1.5
-155
+120

2.5 Rounds 
+135
-175

Fight Goes the Distance 
+153
-225

The UFC on ESPN 37 odds don’t see a decision, despite Duraev’s grappling style. Buckley has been in only 1 decision at the UFC level, and his last decision loss was to Logan Storley of Bellator in 2018. Storely is a grappler, and much more takedown focused than Duraev. 

Tale of the Tape for Buckley vs Duraev 

Fighter
Joaquin ‘New Mansa’ Buckley
Albert Duraev 

Age
28
33

Height
5’10’’
5’11’’

Reach/Stance
76’’ Southpaw
75’’ Orthodox 

Record
14-4
15-3

Submissions/TKO in UFC
0/3
1/0

Fighter Training Camp
Finney’s HIT Squad, Murcielago MMA 
Berkut FC, Various 

The fighters have nearly even stats with Buckley having a significant youth advantage. The fighters have trained at many locations, and were once training partners at Murcielago. 

Buckley vs Duraev UFC Stats For Betting Picks 

Fighter  
Joaquin Buckley
Albert Duraev 

Strikes Landed, Absorbed per Minute 
3.94, 3.88
3.95, 2.33

Takedown Accuracy, Defensive Percentage 
35%,40%
20%, 50%

Takedowns in Last 3
6
2

Buckley has fought superior strikers and maintained his striking ratios. Duraev has made a blistering intensity of takedown attempts, only to score only one in each fight.

Buckley vs Duraev Prediction

Buckley is an underrated athlete and Duraev has gathered up momentum in defeating mid level opponents. Expect Duraev to wear himself out focusing on the takedown, while Buckley lands yet another devastating TKO. Our pick is the Buckly upset at +170. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Guram Kutateladze +135 vs Damir Ismagulov -165

Damir is undefeated in the UFC and a fantastic defensive decision winner. He faced a newcomer with a striking centered style that won an upset decision off a knockdown in his first bout. 

Money Line and Method of Victory Odds for Kutateladze vs Ismagulov

Bet 
Kutateladze Odds 
Ismagulov Odds 

Money Line 
+135
-165

Win by Points
+250
+125

Finish by TKO or Disqualification 
+450
+380

Finish by Submission 
+2000
+1200

Ismagulov has been the favorite in all UFC appearances to date. This is the lowest favorite status he’s seen, scoring as high as -625 in his debut. Guram Kutateladze has no odds from competition outside the promotion. 

Did you HEAR that 😳

Ismagulov put him DOWN #UFCVegas27 pic.twitter.com/EIz7jB4Gkh

— UFC (@ufc) May 22, 2021

Don’t let the decision heavy UFC record fool you, Ismagulov is dangerous.

Over Under and Round Betting Odds for Kutateladze vs Ismagulov

Bet 
Over/Yes
Under/No 

1.5
-400
+275

2.5 Rounds 
-225
+170

Fight Goes the Distance 
-197
+145

The Over 1.5 rounds is a fantastic bet for bettors that believe Guram is capable of a Damir knockout. 

Tale of the Tape for Kutateladze vs Ismagulov

Fighter
Damir ‘Qazaq’ Ismagulov
Guram ‘Georgian Viking’ Kutateladze

Age
31
30

Height
5’10’’
5’11’’

Reach/Stance
74’’ Orthodox 
72’’ Orthodox 

Record
23-1
12-2

Submissions/TKO in UFC
0/0
0/0

How Damir is only a -165 is beyond me. He has nearly double the experience of Guram and mostly fought for the M-1 Challenge. 

Kutateladze vs Ismagulov UFC Stats For Betting Picks 

Fighter  
Damir ‘Qazaq’ Ismagulov
Guram ‘Georgian Viking’ Kutateladze

Strikes Landed, Absorbed per Minute 
3.75, 1.9
2.47, 3.47

Takedown Accuracy, Defensive Percentage 
36%, 100%
0, 68%

Takedowns in Last 3
2
0

Qazaq has a 1.9 strikes absorbed per minute ratio. If he can keep that up for two more fights, he’ll be in the UFC’s top twenty rankings for most elusive active fighter. The top ten starts at 1.3. 

Kutateladze vs Ismagulov Prediction

Ismagulov is an underrated fighter and our Parlay pick of the night. His defensive centered striking is too much for the wild Guram to manage. Guram puts himself in too much danger and doesn’t have the well rounded skill needed to manage Ismagulov. 
Ismagulov moneyline pays out at $60.61 per $100 wager.
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW!

Gregory Rodrigues -190 vs Julian Marquez +155

Marquez is a finisher who’s one weakness is to be slowed down with takedown attempts. Rodrigues is a wrestler with mixed UFC success. 

Money Line and Method of Victory Odds for Rodrigues vs Marquez

Bet 
Rodrigues Odds 
Marquez Odds 

Money Line 
-190
+155

Win by Points
+250
+450

Finish by TKO or Disqualification 
+300
+400

Finish by Submission 
+350
+900

Rodrigues is a favorite, and analysts are banking on Marquez’s inability to finish him. Rodriques has better grappling stats than Di Chirico, the only UFC fighter to beat Marquez. 

Over Under and Round Betting Odds for Rodrigues vs Marquez

Bet 
Over/Yes
Under/No 

2.5 Rounds 
+115
-150

Fight Goes the Distance 
+150
-200

These stats are a bit confusing. The fight is unlikely to go the distance, but Marquez has only lost by decision. How is he the underdog again? 

Tale of the Tape for Rodrigues vs Marquez

Fighter
Gregory ‘Robocop’ Rodrigues 
Julian ‘The Cuban Missile Crisis’ Marquez 

Age
30
32

Height
6’3’’
6’2’’

Reach/Stance
75’’ Orthodox 
72’’ Orthodox 

Record
11-4
9-2

Submissions/TKO in UFC
0/1
3/1

Fighter Training Camp
Black House MMA 
Glory MMA, Syndicate 

Rodrigues is the larger fighter. Julian has the better record overall and the better finishing stats in the UFC. Black House is the former home of fighters like Anderson Silva and Jose Aldo, a fantastic place to learn striking for MMA. However, they failed to produce many modern champions outside their classic legends. 

Rodrigues vs Marquez UFC Stats For Betting Picks 

Fighter  
Gregory ‘Robocop’ Rodrigues 
Julian ‘The Cuban Missile Crisis’ Marquez 

Strikes Landed, Absorbed per Minute 
5.28, 5.87
4.20, 3.13

Takedown Accuracy, Defensive Percentage 
53%, 100%
0, 53%

Takedowns in Last 3
7
0

Rodrigues takes plenty of damage on his way in to score a takedown. He’ll look to repeatedly control Marquez, and put an early stop to any stand up fighting.

 Rodrigues vs Marquez Predictions

Marquez has fantastic counter wrestling submissions, scoring three so far in the UFC. He beats Rodrigues on the feet, so his only hope is a decision win. Marquez has more power than Jordan Williams, who is now 4-1 at the UFC level, going 0-3 after knocking out Rodrigues.  
We see another upset. We’re betting Marquez at +155. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW!

Tony Kelley +255 vs Adrian Yanez -335

Yanez is undefeated in the UFC, joining via DWCS in 2020. 

Money Line and Over Under Odds for Kelley vs Yanez 

Bet 
Odds 

Kelley Money Line 
+255

Yanez Money Line
-335

Over 2.5 Rounds
-115

Under 2.5 Rounds
-115

Fight Goes to Decision, Yes
+112

Fight Goes to Decision, No
-152

This fight could go either way, with both fighters having one UFC decision win. 

Tale of the Tape for Yanez vs Kelley 

Fighter
Adrian Yanez
Tony ‘Primetime’ Kelley 

Age
28
31

Height
5’7’’
5’9’’

Reach/Stance
70’’ Orthodox 
70’’ Switch 

Record
15-3
8-2

Submissions/TKO in UFC
0/4
0/1

Yanez is a slightly smaller fighter, but has had much more UFC TKO success. 

UFC Stats For Betting Picks Yanez vs Kelley 

Fighter  
Adrian Yanez
Tony ‘Primetime’ Kelley 

Strikes Landed, Absorbed per Minute 
6.35, 5.52
5.58, 4.43

Takedown Accuracy, Defensive Percentage 
0, 100%
0, 52%

Takedowns in Last 3
0
0

This fight should be a slugfest, with both fighters focused on high paced kickboxing and very little offensive grappling. 

Yanez vs Kelley Prediction

Yanez keeps the higher pace, and Kelley lost to Kamaka simply because he was kept on the back foot. As the aggressor, Yanez striking ratio is a bad thing for Kelley. He appears to have more knockout power, and the high volume of Yanez should overwelm the underdog. Bet the favorite at -335, a $29.85 payout per $100 wager. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Natalia Silva +200 vs Jasmine Jasudavicius -250

Silva is a UFC newcomer facing the 2-0 in the UFC Jasudavicius. 

Money Line and Method of Victory Odds for Silva vs Jasudavicius

Bet 
Silva Odds 
Jasudavicius Odds 

Money Line 
+200
-250

Win by Points
+375
-141

Finish by TKO or Disqualification 
+1400
+650

Finish by Submission 
+575
+900

Over Under and Round Betting Odds for Silva vs Jasudavicius

Bet 
Over/Yes
Under/No 

2.5 Rounds 
-220
+165

Fight Goes the Distance 
-205
+155

Jasmine has seen two decisions in UFC appearances, making the Over a solid UFC on ESPN 37 prediction. 

Tale of the Tape for Silva vs Jasudavicius

Fighter
Natalia Silva 
Jasmine Jasudavicius 

Age
25
33

Height
5’4’’
5’7’’

Reach/Stance
65’’ Southpaw
68’’ Orthodox 

Record
12-5-1
7-1

Submissions/TKO in UFC
Debut 
0/0

Silva is a team Borrach submission focused fighter. Outside the UFC, she’s seen six straight submissions after a decision loss to Marina Rodriguez. 

Silva vs Jasudavicius UFC Stats For Betting Picks

Fighter  
Natalia Silva 
Jasmine Jasudavicius 

Strikes Landed, Absorbed per Minute 
Debut 
4, 3.63

Takedown Accuracy, Defensive Percentage 
Debut
60%, 85%

Takedowns in Last 3
Debut
6

Jasmine’s grappling at a UFC level has been fantastic offensively. She’s likely to avoid the takedown altogether versus the submission specialist Silva. 

Silva vs Jasudavicius Prediction

Jasudavicius is a fighter that keeps a high pace and has outworked both her UFC opponents. She’s not necessarily a more technical fighter, just a better conditioned one. This is a work against Silva, who will work to submit Jasmine from start bell to fight’s end. 
We see a light ‘Fight goes the Distance, No’ prop bet to be the right choice. Either fighter could win. This could be a set up for Jasmine’s KO power, or a powerful statement on the part of Natalia Silva. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW!

Court McGee -120 vs Jeremiah Wells +100

Court is 3-5 over his last eight bouts with the UFC. Wells is 2-0, finishing both fighters.  

Money Line and Method of Victory Odds for McGee vs Wells 

Bet 
McGee Odds 
Wells Odds 

Money Line 
-120
EVEN

Win by Points
+150
+250

Finish by TKO or Disqualification 
+650
+400

Finish by Submission 
+1200
+600

Court is down on both finishing odds, but has better UFC on ESPN 37 decision prop odds than Wells. . 

Over Under and Round Betting Odds for McGee vs Wells 

Bet 
Over/Yes
Under/No 

2.5 Rounds 
-200
+150

Fight Goes the Distance 
-155
+120

The Under is a decent bet, given that Wells finished both his opponents in less than six minutes of fight time. McGee is sturdy, seeing nine decisions in a row. 

Tale of the Tape for McGee vs Wells

Fighter
Court ‘The Crusher’ McGee
Jeremiah Wells 

Age
37
35

Height
5’11’’
5’9’’

Reach/Stance
75’’ Orthodox 
74’’ Switch 

Record
22-10
10-2-1

Submissions/TKO in UFC
2/0
1/1

All ten of Court’s losses are for the UFC. Wells is the smaller framed fighter with far better finishing ability. 

McGee vs Wells UFC Stats For Betting Picks 

Fighter  
Court ‘The Crusher’ McGee
Jeremiah Wells 

Strikes Landed, Absorbed per Minute 
4.69, 3.69
3.55, 1.58

Takedown Accuracy, Defensive Percentage 
25%, 69%
12%, 100%

Takedowns in Last 3
8
1

McGee’s last few wins needed takedowns badly. Wells’ 100% takedown defense will be a problem. 

McGee vs Wells Predictions

Wells’ stocky build will keep him standing against Court. We see Court having trouble landing against Wells, absorbing more strikes and losing by decision or counter submission. 

JEREMIAH WELLS TURNED THE LIGHTS OUT 😱 #UFCVegas30 pic.twitter.com/C1NiVFSJyQ

— ESPN MMA (@espnmma) June 26, 2021

Pick Wells for a double your money payout. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Maria Oliveria +205 vs Gloria De Paula -265

Maria is yet to win in the UFC. 

Money Line and Method of Victory Odds for Oliveria vs De Paula

Bet 
Oliveria Odds 
De Paula Odds 

Money Line 
+205
-265

Win by Points
+275
-185

Finish by TKO or Disqualification 
+850
+500

Finish by Submission 
+2500
+1400

Oliveira is a clear favorite, but none of the props are meaningful. She could even get her first ever finish over Oliveria, who has lost by TKO before in her DWCS debut. 

Over Under and Round Betting Odds for Oliveria vs De Paula

Bet 
Over/Yes
Under/No 

2.5 Rounds 
-325
+230

Fight Goes the Distance 
-325
+225

Tale of the Tape for Oliveria vs de Paula 

Fighter
Maria ‘Spider-Girl’ Oliveria 
Gloria ‘Glorinha’ de Paula 

Age
25
26

Height
5’6’’
5’5’’

Reach/Stance
69’’ Orthodox 
67’’ Orthodox 

Record
12-5
6-4

Submissions/TKO in UFC
0/0
0/0

Maria is the larger, more experienced fighter. On paper she should have the advantage, but her UFC performances are lackluster. 

Oliveria vs Glorinha UFC Stats For Betting Picks 

Fighter  
Maria ‘Spider-Girl’ Oliveria 
Gloria ‘Glorinha’ de Paula 

Strikes Landed, Absorbed per Minute 
4.1, 5.37
4.2, 2.91

Takedown Accuracy, Defensive Percentage 
0, 50%
20%, 68%

Maria’s last fight was close, but her wrestling was outclassed by Ricci in every way.

Oliveria vs Glorinha Prediction

Both fighters are facing close decision wins. The favorite Gloria barely won her last fight, and lost another close decision to Frey. We see a long fight, and our bet is the Over 2.5 Rounds prop bet for -325. The Over pays out $30.77 per $100 wager.
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Ricardo Ramos -325 vs Danny Chavez +250

Chavez is getting another shot after three exciting and close UFC decisions, putting him at 1-1-1 for the promotion. 

Money Line and Method of Victory Odds for Ramos vs Chaves

Bet 
Ramos Odds 
Chavez Odds 

Money Line 
-325
+250

Win by Points
-132
+475

Finish by TKO or Disqualification 
+800
+550

Finish by Submission 
+400
+2500

Ramos has seen three decision wins over his last four wins.  

Over Under and Round Betting Odds for

Bet 
Over/Yes
Under/No 

2.5 Rounds 
-205
+155

Fight Goes the Distance 
-186
+143

The Over is a fantastic bet, it matches Ramos’ wins and all three of the Chavez UFC bouts. 

Tale of the Tape for Ramos vs Chavez 

Fighter
Ricardo Ramos 
Danny ‘The Columbian Warrior’ Chavez

Age
26
35

Height
5’9’’
5’8’’

Reach/Stance
72’’ Orthodox 
67’’ Orthodox 

Record
15-4
11-4-1

Submissions/TKO in UFC
1/1
0/0

Ramos has superior size and UFC experience. 

Ramos vs Chavez UFC Stats For Betting Picks 

Fighter  
Ricardo Ramos 
Danny ‘The Columbian Warrior’ Chavez

Strikes Landed, Absorbed per Minute 
3.32, 3.84
2.87, 3.84

Takedown Accuracy, Defensive Percentage 
58%, 72%
60%, 87%

Takedowns in Last 3
8
6

All 8 of Ramos’ takedowns were against Bill Ageo. Chavez has a more well rounded game, while Ramos is more strategic overall. 

Ramos vs Chaves Prediction

We’re thinking about the Over prop, but Ramos could see another finish here. Chavez gets hit more than he lands, and that’s a recipe for overextending during a takedown or in the clinch and getting caught with a big shot or submission. Our pick is the Ramos Money line at -325, a $30.77 payout per $100 wagered. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Eddie Wineland +375 vs Cody Stamann -525

Wineland is 1-4 in his last five fights. 

Money Line and Method of Victory Odds for Wineland vs Stamann

Bet 
Wineland Odds 
Stamann Odds 

Money Line 
+375
-525

Win by Points
+750
-132

Finish by TKO or Disqualification 
+700
+235

Finish by Submission 
+2500
+900

Stamann is one of the bigger favorites on the card. 

Over Under and Round Betting Odds for Wineland vs Stamann

Bet 
Over/Yes
Under/No 

2.5 Rounds 
-170
+130

Fight Goes the Distance 
-165
+122

Stamann vs Wineland Prediction

Our top betting pick is the Stamann Money Line. Wineland is coming off two knockout losses, the fourth of his UFC career. Stamann pays out at $19.05 per $100 wager. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Deron Winn +212 vs Phil Hawes -265

Hawes is coming off his second UFC knockout loss. Winn has no UFC TKO’s in his 2-2 UFC run. 

Money Line and Over Under Odds for Winn vs Hawes 

Bet 
Odds 

Winn Money Line 
+212

Hawes Money Line 
-265

Over 2.5 Rounds
-115

Under 2.5 Rounds 
-115

Fight Goes the Distance, Yes
+110

Fight Goes the Distance, No
-145

Hawes is the favorite, boasting two UFC knockout finishes. His win over Kyle Daukaus proved he could defeat technical grapplers with athleticism. Deron Winn’s average takedown rate means less and less with modern UFC scoring. 

Winn vs Hawes Betting Prediction

Hawes 100% takedown ratio is promising, but it shows us his athletic nature will be tough to push past. Winn will have to engage in a stand up battle, and Hawes wins that with ease. Bet Hawes for -265, a $37.74 return per $100 wagered. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Kyle Daukaus -260 vs Roman Dolidze +195

Daukaus is 3-2 in the UFC after his first submission win over Pickett in his february showing. Dolidze is 3-1, but lacks the takedown defense usually needed to beat Daukaus. 

Money Line and Method of Victory Odds for Daukaus vs Dolidze

Bet 
Daukaus Odds 
Dolidze Odds 

Money Line 
-260
+195

Win by Points
+150
+375

Finish by TKO or Disqualification 
+600
+800

Finish by Submission 
+265
+900

Daukaus has a high chance of finishing by submission, averaging 2.2 attempts per bout. 

Over Under and Round Betting Odds for Daukaus vs Dolidze 

Bet 
Over/Yes
Under/No 

2.5 Rounds 
-155
+120

Fight Goes the Distance 
-120
-112

Both fighters see more decisions than finishes. They’ve seen a collective seven decisions and two finishes for the UFC. 

Daukaus vs Dolidze Prediction

Our betting pick is the favorite for a $38.64 return per $100 wager. Dolidze allows for plenty of takedown opportunities with an average 37% takedown defense, giving up seven takedowns in his last three fights. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW!

Author: Tamara Kim