PFL 2022: Playoffs Odds and Predictions

PFL 2022: Playoffs Odds and Predictions

Week 7 PFL Challenger Series 2022

The PFL is back with a ten fight playoffs card featuring many of the most exciting fighters they have to offer. We’ll take a detailed look at the PFL 2022 Playoffs odds for each fight and offer our top betting picks across the card. 

How to Watch and Bet on PFL 2022: Playoffs 

PFL 7: 2022 airs on ESPN and ESPN+ STARTING AT 6:00 PM ET. Bet on the card by clicking any of our place bet buttons, taking you to our MMA betting sites offering the best odds and new bettor bonuses for this fight. PFL 2022: Playoffs comes at you live from Madison Square Garden in New York City. 

PFL 2022: Playoffs Predictions

Here’s a quick rundown of all ten top predictions for PFL 7: 2022. 

Stevie Ray Money Line -115
Silveira Money Line -205
Mercier vs Martinez Fight Goes the Distance, Yes -290
Wilkinson Money Line -325
Cory Hendricks Money Line +125, Top Upset Pick 
Sebie Money LIne +100
Pergande Money Line -375
Barboza Money Line -165, Parlay Pick 
Jackson Money Line +295
Zurcher Money Line -435


PFL 2022: Playoffs Odds

We’ll be starting with our main event and working down to the ‘postlm fights.’ These fights will happen after the main event but feature lesser known PFL fighters. 

Anthony Pettis -115 vs Stevie Ray -115

Ray won via upset in their first meeting at PFL 5 2022 back in June. Pettis was winning the fight when Ray established back control for a rare submission. At +165 in their first bout, Ray has rapidly climbed to a favorite status of -200 at odds opening against Pettis. 

.@StevenRayMMA breaks down his epic Modified Twister submission over Anthony Pettis!#PFLPlayoffs

— PFL (@PFLMMA) August 3, 2022

Pettis Submission Defense

Pettis has been submitted only twice in his career, though he was TKO’d by body triangle  against Dustin Poirier. Ray has multiple submission wins, and has recently won several pro grappling matches against Paddy Pimblett and Craig Ewers. He has the BJJ to make this happen again, and I fully believe Ray will be dominant in all ground fighting situations. 

Top PFL Week 7 2022 Odds for Pettis vs Ray


Pettis Money Line 

Ray Money Line 

Ray Submission WIn

Pettis TKO 

Under 2.5 Rounds 

Ray’s submission prop pays higher than Pettis’ TKO despite fighting one’s outcome. He’s 3-2 over his last five and has been knocked out only once since 2017. Only two fighters ever have knocked Stevie Ray out.

At the UFC level, the majority of Ray’s wins have been decisions, similar to Pettis losses.


Prediction: Stevie Ray Money Line -115

Pettis has won only 1 fight since leaving the UFC in 2020. Ray has the momentum, and the confidence of beating Pettis just two months ago, a psychological advantage that weighs heavy on Pettis. Bet Ray for winnings of $86.96 per $100 wager. 

Josh Silveira -205 vs Omari Akhmedov +166

Silveira defeated Hamlet in June as a -170, the closest odds of his Career. He’s finished all but one of his opponents, while Omari comes to the PFL with seven losses to date. Omari was the underdog at PFL week 1 as a +177. He upset Viktor Pesta with a first round knockout. He’s now 2-2 over his last four fights. This will be Josh Silveira’s first opponent with UFC wins. 

Top PFL 2022: Playoffs Odds 


Silveira Inside the Distance 

Silveira Money Line

Over 1.5 Rounds 

Fight Goes the Distance, No 

Omari has been finished six times in his professional career, both by submission and TKO. He was finished in the third round twice during his time in the UFC. Silveira may struggle to finish Omari early, making the Over a moderate bet. Still, it’s difficult to stray from an undefeated fighter. 

Prediction: Silveira Money Line -205

The undefeated American Top Team fighter has improved dramatically since his 2021 showings. He has natural knockout power and lifelong wrestling experience. We’re not betting the inside the distance payout, as it is somehow lower than the money line. 

Olivier Aubin-Mercier -260 vs Alex Martinez +190

Mercier is on a four fight winning streak since switching to Tristar Gym. He lost three straight in the UFC going 7-5 for the promotion after competing on TUF in 2014. Martinez has seen five straight decisions, going 2-2 over his last four fights.

Most of his wins are for the Middle Eastern or European MMA scene.

Top PFL 2022: Playoffs Odds 


Mercier Inside the Distance 

Mercier Money Line

Martinez Money Line

Fight Goes the Distance, Yes 

Both fighters have seen a string of decisions, with Mercier also going on a 7 fight decision streak.

Both men have knockout power, but Olivier was much more interested in the finish in 2016 and prior.

Expect a long fight that could go either way. 

Prediction: Fight Goes the Distance, Yes 

Both fighters have been focused on the long game, and the PFL tournament with guaranteed winnings reduces the fighters’ need to push the pace. Bet the over if you’re feeling skittish. 

Rob Wilkinson -325 vs Delan Monet +240

The opening fight on the main card features a one sided bout between Wilkinson and Monet. Some will consider the Wilkinson TKO prop at +135 as Monet is 1-1 over his last two, and has been finished twice. Were looking at the fight doesn’t go to decision prop. Both fighters have been finished, though Wilkinson has only been knocked out in the UFC. Monet is likely the best grappler he’s faced to date. 

Prediction: Wilkinson Money Line -325

Bet on one of the most decorated kickboxers in the PFL for winnings of $30.77 per $100 wager. 

Marthin Hamlet -165 vs Cory Hendricks +125

Hamlet has gone 3-3 in the PFL with only one decision total. He still struggles with conditioning and his kickboxing has plenty of room to grow. He’s getting a rematch with Hendricks, who beat him via submission in 2021. Hendrics has since gone 1-1 and is coming off a knockout win over Emiliano Sordi. 

Prediction: Cory Hendricks Money Line +125

Hendricks is a fantastic grappler with a growing conditioning ability. I see Hamlet losing yet again for our upset pick of the night. 

Itso Babulaidze -130 vs Mahmoud Fawzy Sebie +100

Sebie has lost to his only quality opponent as of 2021. He took some time off to reassess his game and comes back to face Itso in his PFL debut. Itso has a 1-0 professional record and is a grappling focused fighter, going up against a mid level wrestler in Sebie. We see Sebie edging out a decision.

Alexei Pergande -375 vs Elvis Lebron Quiles +285

The first postlim fight should be a one sided beatdown. Alexei was an undefeated amatuer making his second pro fight. He’ll likely continue his five fight finishing streak over Quiles, who’s turning pro after a string of decision wins. 

Elmar Umarov +125 vs Lucas Barbosa -165

Barbosa is known as “Hulk” in BJJ circles. He’s a world champion out of the growing Atos MMA program. He hasn’t fought MMA since 2012. Expect Lucas to destroy Umarov, who’s only beaten losing record and debuting fighters. 

Elvin Espinoza -400 vs Corey Jackson +295

Espinoza is undefeated but has only faced one decent fighter in Hopeton Stewart. Corey Jackson has made the recent switch to IBG in Indiana, working alongside multiple former UFC athletes. He’s on a two fight winning streak and should upset the untested talent. 

Brahyan Zurcher -435 vs Ricardo Jimenez +320

The final fight of the night should be a one sided showing for the undefeated Zurcher. Jimenez is yet to win a pro fight. 

Author: Tamara Kim