Bellator 282 Odds and Predictions

Bellator 282 Odds and Predictions

Bellator Fri Jun 24 Betting Predictions

 

Bellator 282 odds are posted and looking lucrative for this fourteen bout card. We’re doing a detailed rundown of each fight, including some Bellator 282 betting odds for prop bets with overlooked chances of success. 

How to Watch and Bet on Bellator 282

Bellator 282 airs on Showtime and the prelim fights can be seen on Youtube, June 24th, 2022 starting at 6:00 PM ET. You can bet on Bellator 282 by clicking any of our ‘place bet’ buttons below each fight, linking you to one of the top Bellator and UFC betting sites. 

Bellator 282 Predictions

Here are the Bellator 282 odds for our picks on each of the fourteen bouts. 

Mousasi vs Eblen: Over 1 ½ Rounds at -270
Logan vs Nallo: Fight Goes to Decision, No at -150
Higo vs Sabatello: Sabatello Money Line at -600
Magomedov vs Barzola: Over ½ Rounds at -620
Soto vs Brennan: Brennan Money Line at -500
Mota vs Moret: Killys Mota Money Line +120
Gonzalez vs Law: Law Money Line at -800 
Zingano vs Sorenson: Zingano Money Line -275
Shabliy vs Primus: Shabliy Money Line at -220
Abdullah vs Tokov: Tokov Money Line at -650 
Joanne vs Lara: Joanne Money Line at +170 
Aguiar vs Jefferey: Jefferey Money Line at -162
Homasi vs Mendonca: Homasi Money Line at -170
Kayne vs Ward: Fight Goes to Decision, No Prop at -230

PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Gregard Mousasi -300 vs Johnny Eblen +225

The champion is back to defend his title after showing up as a similar favorite over Austin Vanderford in February. Mousasi’s recent win brought his winning streak to four, including back to back TKO finishes. 

Eblen’s Rise to Contention

Eblen is undefeated with seven Bellator wins including two finishes. His wrestling base has brought on some boring fights, but his ability to clutch a decision over top talent is undeniable. 

Eblen vs Mousasi Over Under Betting Odds Table 

Bet Available at Bovada
Over, Yes Odds
Under, No Odds 

1.5 Rounds
-270
+180

2.5 Rounds
-140
EVEN

3.5 Rounds
-105
-135

4.5 Rounds 
+125
-165

Will the Fight Go the Distance 
+137
-180

Given Eblen’s history of taking fights to deep water, it’s surprising to see the Over bets so low. Eblen has six career first round finishes, but against talented fighters he ends up going the distance time and again. 

Mousasi’s Game Against Grapplers

Gregard’s last loss was to Rafael Lovato Jr, a grappler that held him down for a five round majority decision win. In his recent third and first round finishes, both fighters engaged with him quickly. I see Eblen being tentative to force cage work, and to look to pick his shots carefully. Mousasi is head and shoulders above his competition to date. 

Method of Victory Betting Odds for Mousasi vs Eblen 

Fighter 
Gregard Mousasi 
Johnny Eblen 

TKO 
+125
+600

Submission 
+600
+1500

Points (Decision) 
+250
+500

Money Line 
-275
+210

Draw 
+6600
+6600

Method of victory props are fairly consistent with Eblen’s Bellator performances. He’s never scored a submission or gone for one in Bellator. His TKO to decision ratio is 2:5 at Bellator. 

Gregard Mousasi has more methods to finish, and more standing TKO’s in his career. 

Mousasi vs Eblen Tale of the Tape 

Fighter
Gregard ‘The Dreamcatcher’ Mousasi 
Johnny ‘Diamond Hands’ Eblen 

Age
36
30

Height
6’2’’
6’3’’

Reach/Stance
76’’
74’’

Record
49-7-2
11-0

Submissions/TKO 
12/28
1/5

Fighter Training Camp
Red Devil International,  Jurojin, Kops Gym  
American Top Team 

The difference in finishing stats is striking. Eblen is new to the sport and rising up in ranks fast. His two inch reach disadvantage isn’t ideal against the looping but accurate hands of Gregard. Age has to be a factor for Mousasi, giving up six years to Eblen. In spite of that, his win over Austin was the fastest TKO of his career. 

Betting Predictions for Mousasi vs Eblen

Eblen is a gamer and rising star out of one of the best MMA schools in the nation. We think he fares better than Vanderford and will show up with a superior gameplan that tests the conditioning of the champ. With that in mind, we’re betting the Over 1 ½ Rounds prop bet. It’s not that Eblen will win, in fact he could lose at any moment. The over is a great bet offering nearly the money line of Mousasi while giving us insurance on Eblen’s upset. 

PLACE YOUR BETS NOW!

Other Top Bets

The Mousasi money line and Mousasi TKO betting prop are great choices, with the Bellator 282 prop odds paying out $125 per $100 wagered. Go with those if our Over bet is too safe for your ticket. 

Bryce Logan +176 vs Mandel Nallo -225

This prelim bout was added to the odds on fight week! Logan is coming off two bellator decision losses as the favorite after upsetting Jacob Rosales as a +170. Nallo is 1-2 over his last three fights. Nallo has never gone to a decision and is nearly always the favorite despite multiple losses. 

Logan vs Nallo Over Under Betting Odds Table 

Bet Available at Bovada
Over, Yes Odds
Under, No Odds 

2.5
-110
-130

Will the Fight Go the Distance 
+110
-150

Nallo loves to push the pace. Eleven fights with no decision is quite the feat. Logan is completely contrasting, going the distance eleven times in seventeen fights. 

Logan vs Nallo Tale of the Tape 

Fighter
Bryce Logan 
Mandel ‘Rat Garbage’ Nallo 

Age
32
32

Height
5’9’’
6’0’’

Reach/Stance
70’’
75’’

Record
12-6
8-2, 1NC

Submissions/TKO 
2/2
4/4

Fighter Training Camp
Fight Ready 
Tristar 

Both fighters are from highly reputable camps. Logan is a bit small for the 155 lbs division and has the frame of a featherweight or even a bantamweight. I see Nallo enjoying that reach advantage to force stand up exchanges. Logan has been finished three times in his career to Nallo’s two TKO losses. 

Betting pick for Logan vs Nallo

It’s our belief that either man has a solid chance of knocking the other out. Defensive striking is neither fighter’s strong suit and Bellator knows it- that’s why they put them as the opening fight. Our Bellator 282 prediction is ‘Fight Goes to Decision, No’ at -150. The Bellator 282 odds for this fight payout at $66.67 per $100 wagered. 

PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Leandro Higo +385 vs Danny Sabatello -600

Sabatillo upset Brett Johns as a +220 in his last Bellator showing,and has a seven fight winning streak ranging from -333 to -565. Higo has been the underdog for five fights running, winning his last three. You may recognize HIgo from the semi-finals of TUF Brazil season 4. 

Higo vs Sabatello Over Under Betting Odds Table 

Bet Available at Bovada
Over, Yes Odds
Under, No Odds 

1.5 Rounds
-310
+205

2.5 Rounds
-165
+125

3.5 Rounds
-120
-120

4.5 Rounds 
-105
-135

Will the Fight Go the Distance 
+110
-150

Five round fights are new territory for both men, which is why the going the distance odds pay so well. Sabatello has seen four decisions in a row from DWCS 2020 and two Bellator level fights. This fight is a bantamweight title contention bout, and Higo is among the most proven fighters Sabatello has faced. However, Higo has been finished four times in the first round, making the over a scary bet. 

Method of Victory Betting Odds for Higo vs Sabatello 

Fighter 
Leandro Higo 
Danny Sabatello

TKO 
+2000
+305

Submission 
+750
+250

Points (Decision) 
+700
+140

Money Line 
+385
-600

Draw 
+6600
+6600

The Sabatello money line pays well enough at $0.15 per dollar wager. His career submissions have been three times in the first round, but so has Higo against equally difficult fighters. I think his submission prop is undervalued and a very possible finish if you’re looking for a hail mary. 

Higo vs Sabatello Tale of the Tape 

Fighter
Leandro Pitbull Higo 
Danny ‘The Italian Gangster’ Sabatello 

Age
33
29

Height
5’8’’
5’10’’

Reach/Stance
70.5
69.5’’

Record
21-5
12-1

Career Submissions, TKO 
12, 3
4, 3

Fighter Training Camp
Pitbull Brothers 
American Top Team 

Higo has fought a slew of lower quality fighters. Danny is the younger fighter with a larger frame. His one loss was a knockout in Titan FC to title holder Irwin Rivera, who went on to go 1-2 in the UFC at featherweight. 

Betting Predictions for Higo vs Sabatello 

Higo will struggle against the grappling and height of Sabtello. Sabatello’s win over Hugo gave him his first loss, ever and Victor Hugo was considered the perfect submission wrestler for the bantamweight division. Sabatello is a -600, $15 per $100 wager bet. 

PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Upset Predictions

If you think Higo gets the job done, it will have to be a finish. Look to the under prop bet for your top pay out at -110. 

Enrique Barzola +130 vs Magomed Magomedov -170

The Bantamweight title contention tournament has another fight at Bellator 282. Magomedov has been the favorite in all fights on record including his loss to Raufeon Stots at -365. Barzola survived in UFC but is undefeated in Bellator, winning at -105 and -162. His last loss was as a +170 to Movsar Evloev. 

Barzola vs Magomedov Over Under Betting Odds Table 

Bet Available at Bovada
Over, Yes Odds
Under, No Odds 

1.5 Rounds
-650
+375

2.5 Rounds
-400
+250

3.5 Rounds
-310
+205

4.5 Rounds 
-300
+200

Will the Fight Go the Distance 
-250
+172

Magomedov has three decisions and three finishes over his last six. He lost via decision to Petr Yan in the toughest fight of his career to date in 2017. Stots also won a definitive decision, but Barzola has the grappling efficiency of neither man. 

Eleven of Barzolas last twelve fights ended in a decision. 

Method of Victory Betting Odds for Magomedov vs Barzola 

Fighter 
Magomed Magomedov 
Enrique Barzola 

TKO 
+1000
+500

Submission 
+600
+2200

Points (Decision) 
+120
+195

Money Line 
-162
+132

Draw 
+6600
+6600

Barzola by points is the top bet for Barzola fans. If he can win, he’ll do it in a hard fought battle. Magomedov’s money line is the right bet, given he’s just as likely to win a decision as to catch the submission. 

Barzola has the superior TKO prop, but has only one TKO at a competitive level, and most of his knockouts come from seven or more years ago. 

Magomedov vs Barzola Tale of the Tape 

Fighter
Magomed ‘Tiger’ Magomedov 
Enrique ‘El Puerte’ Barzola 

Age
30
33

Height
5’7’’
5’7’’

Reach/Stance
69’’
70’’

Record
18-2
18-5-2

Career Submissions, TKO 
8, 4
4,6 

Fighter Training Camp
DagFigther
American Kickboxing Academy

These fighters show nearly even stats. Barzola’s recent losses are to high quality UFC athletes. AKA is perhaps one of the better American gyms to deal with a Dagestani style fighter and grappler. The Bellator 282 odds show Barzola at a 43% chance of victory, but it’s much closer to 50/50 given their comparative levels of competition. 

Betting Prediction for Magomedov vs Barzola

Our Top pick is the Over 1.5 Rounds at -650. Neither man has lost by the other’s preferred method of victory, so this is an easy long fight. 

More Lucrative Magomedov vs Barzola Bets 

 The Money line for Magomedov at -162 is the safer bet. Barzola is a good value, but he’s fumbled to fighters like Kevin Aguilar and he’s taken far more damage over the course of his career. I see Magomedov out grappling and winning a narrow decision. 

 PLACE YOUR BETS NOW!

Johnny Soto +335 vs Lucas Brennan -500

Soto is the underdog for the second time in his career after upsetting Weber Almeida only to lose as the favorite in his last Bellator showing. Brennan is undefeated with five finishes, fighting only for Bellator as a pro. No Prop odds are available for this prelim fight

Soto vs Brennan Tale of the Tape 

Fighter
Johnny ‘The Phantom’ Soto 
Lucas ‘Skywalker’ Brennan

Age
29
22

Height
5’9’’ 
5’10’’

Reach/Stance
70’’
71’’

Record
4-2
6-0

Career Submissions, TKO 
2, 1
4, 1

Fighter Training Camp
North County MMA 
Next Generation MMA World HQ

Brennan is the larger framed featherweight. He was an undefeated amatuer as well. By contrast, Soto was finished by a body shot in his opening pro fight and his recent decision loss was to 5-3 Adil Benjiiany. 

Comparing Fighter Camps

Next Gen MMA is home to dozens of young fighters cross training with multiple camps. North County has no major athletes to speak of and a small BJJ program. Johnny is a blue belt at North County, while Brennan is a Jiu Jitsu black belt. The grappling of both camps and athletes is the biggest gap between Soto and Brennan. 

Betting Predictions for Soto vs Brennan

Fight tape shows Brennan to be the more accurate striker and the superior grappler. Many of Soto’s wins rely on getting top position for ground strikes, something I think he’ll fail to do effectively here. Bet Brennan at -500 for a nice parlay ticket addition or $20 per $100 wagered payout. 

PLACE YOUR BETS NOW!

Killys Mota +120 vs Dan Moret -155

Mota has been the underdog for his last two fights, losing both at +170 and +105. Moret is coming off an underdog loss at +100 after an upset of Goiti Yamauchi at +380. Both men have had a rocky high level career, though Moret has had the misfortune of fighting more high level fighters. 

Mota vs Moret Money Line Odds Table 

Fighter 
Mota
Moret

Money Line Odds 
+120
-155

Chance of Win %
45.5% 
60.8%

Winnings Per $100 Wagered
$120 
$64.52

Moret is a slightly better fighter, and we agree. Mota was fine in local Brazilian MMA, but has struggled to do much of any damage at the higher levels. His best wins are over Mandel Nallo, and Bobby Lee; both unproven rising athletes. 

Mota vs Moret Tale of the Tape 

Fighter
Killys Mota 
Dan ‘The Hitman’ Moret

Age
31
35

Height
5’11’’
6’0’’

Reach/Stance
71’’
72’’

Record
12-3
15-7

Career Submissions, TKO 
4, 4
7, 1

Fighter Training Camp
Teixeira MMA 
Fight Ready 

The Hitman has a worse overall finishing ratio. He’s got the slightly larger frame, but gives up age to Mota. Mota has lost by knockout twice, but never by submission, Moret’s preferred method of winning. However, Moret has seen two knockout losses over his last ten bouts. 

Betting Predictions for Mota vs Moret

Moret is a fantastic grappler but his age is starting to show. Mota is still developing, but I think his time at Teixeira MMA makes him too versed in BJJ to submit. Moret will struggle more with the looping hooks of Mota than he’ld like to admit. I see a tough fight, but I’m betting a small amount on the underdog, Killys Mota. 

James Gonzalez +460 vs Cody Law -800

Law has ranged from -345 to -5000 in his undefeated career. Gonzales has lost two of his last four, but holds wins over Pat Sabatini of the UFC and former CFFC champion Jeff Lentz. 

Gonzalez vs Law Money Line Odds Table 

Fighter 
Gonzalez
Law

Money Line Odds 
+460
-800

Chance of Win %
17.9%
88.9%

Winnings Per $100 Wagered
$460
$12.50

Law is a serious favorite, finsiing five of his six pro bouts by submission or TKO. 

Gonzalez v Law Tale of the Tape 

Fighter
James ‘The Alley Cat’ Gonzalez 
Cody Law

Age
31
27

Height
5’9’’
5’9’’

Reach 
NA
68’’

Record
8-5
6-0

Career Submissions, TKO 
3, 1
1, 4

Fighter Training Camp
Longo-Law-Weidman MMA 
Mat Factory Wrestling, American Top Team 

Cody is at two of the nations top schools for grapplers, while Gonzalez is working under the king of upsets, Matt Serra. Law has faced better strikers and grapplers than James and beat them with ease, four in the very first round. 

Betting Prediction for Gonzalez vs Law

The Bellator 282 odds are being generous with this fight. Law could be a -2000 and I wouldn’t bat an eye. Stylistically, he’s everything that beats Gonzalez- a fast starter with solid conditioning. Bet Law at -800. 

PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Pam Sorenson +210 vs Cat Zingano -275

Zingano is a two fight winning streak as a Bellator favorite. She struggled in the UFC, losing to the who’s who of the 135/145 division, but defeating Amanda Nunes back in 2014 as a -210. Sorenson lost her last bout to Blencowe at +315, ending a two fight winning streak as a minor favorite. She has wins over Jessica-Rose Clark and former UFC champion Nicco Montano. 

Sorenson vs Zingano Money Line Odds Table 

Fighter 
Pam Sorenson 
Cat Zingano 

Money Line Odds 
+210
-275

Chance of Win %
32.2%
73.3%

Winnings Per $100 Wagered
$210
$36.36

Zingano wins this fight three of every four times, according to oddsmakers. I think Zingano is a steal on this one. 

Zingano vs Sorenson Tale of the Tape 

Fighter
‘Alpha’ Cat Zingano 
Pamela ‘Bam’ Sorenson 

Age
39
36

Height
5’6’’
5’7’’

Reach/Stance
70’’ Switch
65’’, Orthodox 

Record
12-4
9-4

Career Submissions, TKO 
4, 5
1, 1

Fighter Training Camp
Zingano BJJ
The Cellar 

Zingano’s finishing skill in grappling and TKOs make her terrifying for Bam. She also boasts a five inch reach and is one of the only true 145 lbs womens’ athletes. 

Megan Anderson defeated Cat Zingano via eye injury, two years ago today #UFC
pic.twitter.com/zl89Q7Kelz

— JReal (@BloodyCanvasJon) December 29, 2020

An unfortunate toe to the eye ends Cat’s UFC career.

Betting Pick for Zingano vs Sorenson

Without a doubt, pick the easy winner in Cat Zingano. Don’t let age fool you, many women’s MMA athletes need time to develop. Take her -275 as easy money. 

Brent Primus +160 vs Alexander Shablily -205

Primus is 3-2 over his last five, upsetting Benson Henderson in late 2021. He now faces Shabliy, a young fighter on a six fight winning streak that includes two Bellator contenders. 

Method of Victory Betting Odds for Primus vs Shabliy

Fighter 
Brent Primus 
Alexander Shabliy 

TKO 
+1400
+350

Submission 
+550
+2000

Points (Decision) 
+300
EVEN

Money Line 
+166
-220

Draw 
+6600
+6600

Shabliy gives Primus only one category, submission. In spite of that, Shabliy has multiple heel hook submissions in his career- but has shown only knockout striking in his recent finishes. 

Shabliy vs Primus Tale of the Tape

Fighter
Alexander ‘Peresvet’ Shabliy 
Brent Primus

Age
29
37

Height
5’9’’
5’10’’

Reach/Stance
70’’ Orthodox 
73’’ 

Record
21-3
11-2

Career Submissions, TKO 
7, 10
6, 2

Fighter Training Camp
Peresvet FT 
Team Oyama 

Alexander has had the more extensive and active career, outpacing the man eight years his senior. Primus has an advantage in frame, but in no other categories. 

Shabliy vs Primus Betting Pick

The Bellator 282 odds show Shabliy as a risk for getting submitted but I don’t see it. I think the Dagestani style grappling of Shabliy is underestimated, and his money line bet at -220 is a great payout for a contender against an aging star. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Muhammad Abdullah +400 vs Anatoly Tokov -650

Tokov is one of the many prodigies to come out of Emilianko’s MMA camp. He’s on a six fight winning streak as the favorite in each.  Abdullah is a talented puncher but lacks the majority of other fight elements, losing by submission multiple times in his career. 

Method of Victory Betting Odds for Abdullah vs Tokov 

Fighter 
Adbullah 
Anatoly Tokov

TKO 
+900
+140

Submission 
+3000
+225

Points (Decision) 
+700
+285

Money Line 
+400
-650

Draw 
+6600
+6600

The Tokov by submission prop is our top prop bet, though it’s a risky move. Tokov has finished two of his last six by submission, but can beat Abdullah in many ways. 

Adbullah vs Tokov Tale of the Tape

Fighter
Muhammad Abdullah
Anatoly Tokov 

Age
36
32

Height
6’1’’
5’10’’

Reach
NA 
73’’

Record
11-5
30-3

Submissions/TKO 
0, 2
7, 16

Fighter Training Camp
Vision MMA 
Stary Oskol 

Tokov comes in smaller than Abdullah, but exceeds him in camp, experience, and youth. 

💪 Never count this Russian 🇷🇺 out of the fight!

Anatoly Tokov came through with one of the greatest comeback wins in MMA history at #Bellator218.

Our ⏪ Event Rewind ⏪ kicks off now on YouTube, courtesy of @cbdMD_USA.#AloneTogether pic.twitter.com/qoueqyYsGo

— BellatorMMA (@BellatorMMA) May 14, 2020

If the plan is to knock Tokov out, he better bring improved striking.

Betting Pick for Abdullah vs Tokov

Bet Tokov for an easy win. His -650 moneyline presents a 70% chance of winning, but we see it closer to 90%. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Ilara Joanne +160 vs Alejandra Lara -210

Joanne has gone on to lose two in bouts with former champion Kana Wantanabe and Contender Vanessa Proto. She faces Lara, the most recent fighter to go the distance with Wantanabe. 

Method of Victory Betting Odds for Joanne vs Lara 

Fighter 
Alejandra Lara 
Ilara Joanne 

TKO 
+400
+1400

Submission 
+1000
+800

Points (Decision) 
Even 
+275

Money Line 
-210
+170

Draw 
+6600
+6600

Lara beats Joanne in every category but submission work. I would argue that Ilara has the better wrestling overall, and that could lead to a decision win. 

Joanne vs Lara Tale of the Tape

Fighter
Ilara ‘Arya Stark’ Joanne 
Alejandra ‘Azul’ Lara

Age
28
27

Height
5’3’’
5’7’’

Reach
64’’
69’’ 

Record
9-6
9-5

Career Submissions, TKO 
3,4 
3, 4

Fighter Training Camp
Pitbull Brothers 
Combat training Club 

Lara is lanky for a flyweight. Her striking style will have her punching down at Joanne, who’s small for the weight class. Lara lost by submission only once in her career after taking down Ilima-lei Macfarlane in 2018. 

Betting Pick for Joanne vs Lara

Our betting pick is the underdog Ilara Joanne. Lara’s hype train doesn’t include many major wins at women’s flyweight. Ilara’s groundwork is light years above Lara’s and I think we’ll see a submission win. Bet Joanne at +170. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Fabio Aguiar +130 vs Aaron Jefferey -170 

Jeffrey has beaten LFA and Combat Zone champions, recently losing to UFC fighter Caio Borralho at DWCS. He’s only lost to UFC alumni, including Sean Brady and Brendan Allen. Aguiar is a powerful middleweight with losses to UFCs Bruno Silva and Bellator’s Khalid Murtazaliev, both via decision. 

Method of Victory Betting Odds for Jefferey vs Aguiar

Fighter 
Aaron Jeffrey
Fabio Aguiar

TKO 
+350
+550

Submission 
+800
+1200

Points (Decision) 
+145
+275

Money Line 
-165
+132

Draw 
+6600
+6600

Jeffrey has bested higher quality opponents using all categories of winning. Aguiar has shown little to no submission skill at the highest level, with five finishes against local fighters. 

Aguiar vs Jeffrey Tale of the Tape

Fighter
Fabio Aguiar 
Aaron Jeffery

Age
34
29

Height
6’0’’
6’2’’

Reach
72’’ 
73’’

Record
18-2
11-3

Career Submissions, TKO 
5, 9
1,7

Fighter Training Camp
NA
Para Bellum, Niagara Top Team

Jeffery’s recent camp switch places him multiple LFA and Bellator level fighters. He’s continued to improve despite rising to power fairly quickly. Aguiar has seen two finishes in four fights. 

Betting Pick for Aguiar vs Jefferey

Jefferey is the faster improving fighter, with  better training camp and a better record over quality fighters. Over 75% of Aguiar’s wins are over losing record fighters or debuting fighters. 
Bet Jefferey at -165, with winnings of $61.67 per $100 wagered. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Maycon Mendonca +125 vs Sabah Homasi -165

Sabah has lost twice to top Bellator fighters including Paul Daley and Andrey Koreshkov. He went 0-3 in his UFC run, but has smashed all fighters outside that caliber including Bobby Voelker. Mendonca just lost a fight that ended a five fight winning streak. He’s fumbled wins against lower ranked LFA opponent’s multiple times. 

Method of Victory Betting Odds for Homasi vs Mendonca 

Fighter 
Sabah Homasi
Maycon Mendonca

TKO 
+175
+600

Submission 
+850
+500

Points (Decision) 
+305
+350

Money Line 
-170
+132

Draw 
+6600
+6600

Homasi wins in all categories except submission, where Mendonca is the clearly better grappler. 
Sabah has been submitted twice in his career. 

Homasi vs Mendonca Tale of the Tape

Fighter
Sabah ‘The Sleek Sheik’ Homasi
Maycon Mendonca 

Age
33
31

Height
6’0’’
6’2’’

Reach
71’’
74.5’’

Record
16-10
11-5

Career Submissions, TKO 
3, 10
1, 4

Fighter Training Camp
American Top Team
Black House 

Sabah is the smaller framed fighter with finishing and experience advantages. At 170, Maycon is often too lanky and seems to struggle with his weight cut. 

Betting Pick for Homasi vs Mendonca

The Bellator 282 Betting odds show Homasi as the more proven striker, with nearly double the finishing percentage of Mendonca. His losses at the UFC level shouldn’t be held against him, he’s an exciting athlete that tends to blaze through fighters like Maycon. Bet Homasi at -170. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW!

Brennan Ward -275 vs Kassius Kayne +200

Ward has struggled with Bellator’s top five, going 2-3 in his last five showings. He faces Kayne, a fighter with a similar 2-3 record but against lower level fighters, losing to LFA level talent and offering Maycon Mendonca his only submission win. 

Bellator 285 Over Under Betting Odds Table 

Bet Available at Bovada
Over, Yes Odds
Under, No Odds 

1.5
-150
+110

2.5
+135
-175

Will the Fight Go the Distance 
+170
-230

In both fighters’ last four wins, we see only a single decision. The under 2.5 or no decision prop bets are likely, 

☘️”Irish” gets the crowd on their feet! 🙌

Brennan Ward opens up the main card THIS Friday on @SHOSports.#Bellator282 | Friday, June 24th | 9pm ET / 6pm PT pic.twitter.com/5QHx6VGfje

— BellatorMMA (@BellatorMMA) June 22, 2022

Ward is more crowd pleaser than technician.

Kayne vs Ward Tale of the Tape

Fighter
Kassius ‘Killa’ Kayne 
Brennan ‘Irish’ Ward 

Age
35
33

Height
6’1’’
5’10’’

Reach
76’’
71’’

Record
12-7
15-6

Career Submissions, TKO 
3, 8
4, 10

Fighter Training Camp
Disorderly Conduct 
Whaling City Boxing 

Kayne has a heap of natural advantages here, but both fighters are showing only one decision among wins and three among total losses. 

Betting Prediction for Ward vs Kayne

Our betting pick is the ‘Fight Goes to Decision, No’ prop bet at -230. Neither man likes to go the distance, and there is far too much power in that ring to see a decision. 
PLACE YOUR BETS NOW! 

Author: Tamara Kim